Mike Tisdale

The Illini are somewhat of an enigma in this NCAA tournament. Yes, they have the numbers in terms of quality wins and overal win-loss record, and a rich history of successful basketball to boot. So why is it that Illinois is the fave pick to get upset by Western Kentucky in the first round? Well, there are a couple of reasons, some of which are justified, some of which aren’t.

First of all, Illinois has a tough road ahead without Chester Frazier. The man does not score a lot of points, but being a “coach” on the floor has really helped along some of the younger problems and also has provided a great defensive player for the Illini. Second of all, the Illinois offense is nothing but consistent. And the X factor usually goes around Demetri McCamey, who is either red-hot or ice cold, as evidenced by several performances where he scored over 20 and then there were games were he posted a goose egg. As McCamey goes, so go the Illini. And facing a team like Western Kentucky, who many think deserved much better than a 12, the Illini aren’t playing against a team that is just happy to make it to the dance.

On the other hand, Mike Davis has really come into his own over the last several games, providing great rebounding and a soft touch to really become a great player. Mike Tisdale has also become a go-to scorer for the Illini, and his height and shooting touch could prove to be a big impact on the Illini’s success in the tournament–or lack thereof. Tisdale has had foul problems as of late, probably because he is slower than molasses.

The Hilltoppers form a lot of challenges for the Illini, but if there’s something the Illini rely upon, it’s quick ball movement, high assist to turnovers, and great defense. Western Kentucky is a decent offensive team, but nothing that the Illini can’t deny and shut down with a good effort. The Hilltoppers have good guard play, but that is where the Illini excel at defending. I am going against the trend here.

Predicted Result: Win

2nd round: Gonzaga/Akron

Gonzaga is almost a sure call here. The Zags have a great lineup and while they always take heat for not having a great conference, don’t forget that Dick Vitale picked the Zags to be in the Final Four at the beginning of the year. They have only lost one game in 2009, and there team is as deep as many of the best teams out there. If Illinois can win the first round, they will have their hands full–way too full.

Predicted result: Loss