Fantasy preview: Green Bay
Year One without Brett Favre started out all right but skidded into a 6-10 season. Though Aaron Rodgers struggled late in close games, he quickly developed into a legitimate fantasy force, amassing stats Favre hadn’t consistently posted since the 1990s.
Quarterback: Rodgers threw for 4,038 yards and 28 touchdowns in his “rookie” season as a starter. Some cheat sheets have him listed as a top-five QB, though I’m not convinced he’s quite at that level yet. Still, he’s a solid QB1 who might put up similar numbers in 2009.
Running backs: Ryan Grant didn’t turn in the dream season of 2007, yet still finished with 1,203 yards (but only four touchdowns). Still, rely on him as anything more as an RB2. I see Grant’s season going two ways: Either he struggles to reach the end zone again and remains in RB2 territory, or he puts last season behind him and delivers RB1 numbers. If it’s the latter, he’ll be a steal in the middle second or third round, but don’t take the risk any higher. Brandon Jackson is the backup, but he’s not worth the handcuff on draft day — remember, it’s because Jackson didn’t bring it in 2007 that Grant got the chance to shine.
Wide receivers: Greg Jennings’ TDs dropped from 12 to 9 last year, but he exploded in receptions and yards, so much so that he’s a clear WR1. Donald Driver’s numbers dropped a little again, but he remains a solid veteran and a good option at WR3. James Jones and Jordy Nelson are not worth taking on draft day but might be worthy of a in-season pickup, especially if something happens to Jennings or Driver.
Tight ends: Donald Lee’s stats slipped last year as Rodgers found more comfort with his WRs. He’ll score a few touchdowns, but he’s nothing more than a lower-tier TE2 on draft day.
Kicker: Mason Crosby returns as one of the best fantasy kickers in the league. If the Packers score a bunch of points again, as expected, he’ll match last season’s 127 points easy.
