This is the first of 32 team previews I’m planning for the upcoming fantasy season. I’m only going to focus on skill players (no D/STs, and I may even gloss over kickers on some teams). What will follow will be my opinions and predictions of the fantasy values for each team. I’ll start with the Packers, who might have the biggest question mark at quarterback of any team in the league.
Green Bay may have been the biggest surprise in the NFL in 2007. But 2008 is a mystery, thanks to the retirement of Brett Favre. Can the Pack come close to their success of last season, when they came within an overtime of the Super Bowl? Or is it back to under .500? And are all those impressive fantasy numbers set for a nose-dive?
QUARTERBACK: Aaron Rodgers is stepping into Favre’s big shoes, and I’ll be honest, I have no clue how he will perform. Will he deliver numbers similar to Favre’s, or will we see rookie numbers, even though it’s Rodgers fourth year as a pro? He may be a fantasy sleeper QB2 to start the season, but if he does step up, and stays healthy, expect Rodgers to be the fantasy surprise of the year.
RUNNING BACKS: Ryan Grant came on midseason and became a legitimate fantasy star, out of nowhere. The Packers are going to need him as Rodgers acclimates to being the starter, so expect RB1 numbers from him. Brandon Jackson could turn into a late-, late-round RB5 sleeper and decent insurance for Grant, particularly if 2007 was a fluke.
WIDE RECEIVERS: Donald Driver, Greg Jennings and James Jones were a fantastic trio for Favre last year, with Driver getting the yards, Jennings the TDs and Jones as a third option. Their success hinges on Rodgers’ success, so draft them with caution. I’m seeing Driver slipping in many rankings, I see just the opposite — Rodgers will need to rely on the veteran. And Jennings will only get better, again depending on their new quarterback. Both are solid WR2s, Jones is a low-end WR3.
TIGHT ENDS: Donald Lee put up the best numbers of his career last year and should continue to be an integral part of the Packers’ offense. He’s TE1, but with tight ends so deep this year, a lower-tier TE1.
KICKER: Another Packer whose success hinges on the QB transition is Mason Crosby. The Packers likely won’t get into the end zone as much, decreasing his points, but perhaps will see more field goals come his way. He’s a top-10 kicker, but be ready to grab someone else if the Packers sputter.