2009 September - Da NFL Blog - Fantasy football advice and NFL musings that would make Coach Ditka proud

Archive for September, 2009

Post-Week 3 rankings

Seven teams are undefeated, and six of them are ranked 1-6. The seventh is Denver, which might fall to 3-5 with its brutal imminent schedule. The Bengals make this week’s biggest jump — seven spots — while the Steelers and Falcons tie for the biggest tumble, each down eight.

1. Giants (3-0)
2. Colts (3-0)
3. Ravens (3-0)
4. Saints (3-0)
5. Vikings (3-0)
6. Jets (3-0)
7. Patriots (2-1)
8. Chargers (2-1)
9. Cowboys (2-1)
10. Eagles (2-1)
11. Broncos (3-0)
12. Steelers (1-2)
13. Falcons (2-1)
14. Bears (2-1)
15. Packers (2-1)
16. 49ers (2-1)
17. Bengals (2-1)
18. Cardinals (1-2)
19. Titans (0-3)
20. Texans (1-2)
21. Seahawks (1-2)
22. Redskins (1-2)
23. Dolphins (1-2)
24. Jaguars (1-2)
25. Bills (1-2)
26. Panthers (0-3)
27. Lions (1-2)
28. Raiders (1-2)
29. Chiefs (0-3)
30. Buccaneers (0-3)
31. Rams (0-3)
32. Browns (0-3)

Posted on 30th September 2009
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Week 3 picks

I’m doing: Picking the Lions to win this week. Hopefully I don’t get that one right then tank the other 15 …

WEEK 3
DETROIT over Washington
Green Bay over ST. LOUIS
MINNESOTA over San Francisco
NEW ENGLAND over Atlanta
N.Y. JETS over Tennessee
PHILADELPHIA over Kansas City
N.Y. Giants over TAMPA BAY
BALTIMORE over Cleveland
New Orleans over BUFFALO
Chicago over SEATTLE
SAN DIEGO over Miami
Pittsburgh over CINCINNATI
Denver over OAKLAND
Indianapolis over ARIZONA
DALLAS over Carolina
Last week: 11-5. Season: 24-8

Posted on 27th September 2009
Under: Expert (muffled laughter) picks | No Comments »

Week 3 fantasy preview

Offering no speculation on Michael Vick’s fantasy value …

SMART STARTS
Tony Romo, QB, Cowboys: He’s just about a must-start anyway, but after his shaky game last week, you could theoretically be wary. Don’t: The Carolina pass defense hasn’t been that effective, and Romo will be looking to make amends and give the Cowboys their first victory in their new stadium.

Eli Manning, QB, Giants: It’s early, but Manning might be headed for a 4,000-yard season if he’s really found a groove with his young receivers. The Bucs gave up a lot off offense to Dallas and Buffalo the first two weeks, and Eli will also capitalize on a defense that’s just not that good.

Matt Forte, RB, Bears: I hope this isn’t simply wishful thinking as a Matt Forte owner, but I believe this is the week, against Seattle, he busts out of his opening slump with 150 total yards and at least a TD.

SLEEPER SELECTIONS
Broncos defense: Denver plays the Raiders, who, yes, are that bad. The Broncos’ defense has looked good in two games vs. mediocre teams; watch it do well against another mediocre team.

Ray Rice, RB, Ravens: Though Willis McGahee has been vulturing touchdowns, expect Rice to break through with perhaps a good yardage game against the Browns.

Pierre Garcon, WR, Colts: Will Garcon or Austin Collie emerge as the Colts’ second receiver while Anthony Gonzalez is sidelined? I’m leaning toward Garcon, and if Indy gets into a shootout with Arizona, he could turn in a career game.

RUN AWAY! RUN AWAY!
Julius Jones, RB, Seahawks: Seattle might be without Matt Hasselbeck, the Seahawks play the Bears, and, well, this is Julius Jones. Sit him.

Justin Gage, WR, Titans: Tennessee plays the Jets, who shut down Andre Johnson and Randy Moss the last two weeks. Gage is nowhere in Johnson or Moss’ league, so don’t expect much.

Kevin Smith, RB, Lions: Though I think the Lions could break their losing streak against the Redskins, it will more than likely be because the Redskins don’t do enough to win, rather than something spectacular from the Detroit offense. I just don’t see Smith putting up good numbers against the Washington defense.

Posted on 25th September 2009
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Week 2 redux

So two games in, what team is the biggest surprise success story? A good argument exists for the 49ers and the Broncos, but I have to go with the Jets. They have shut down two good offenses, and Mark Sanchez has been solid enough for a rookie. Of course, the Jets started out good last year, only to have Brett Favre throw interception after interception. But if Sanchez can produce a Joe Flacco-like rookie year, the Jets will make the playoffs.

More musings from Week 2:

– That other team in the Meadowlands has established itself as the team to beat in the NFC. With all apologies to the Vikings, Saints and Falcons, the Giants are my early, early favorites to win the conference. Remember all the criticism the team received for giving Eli Manning that ludicrous contract extension? It doesn’t seem so crazy now, particularly after he led the Giants at Dallas on Sunday night. I’ll even go out on a limb and say he’ll win another Super Bowl before his brother does.

– Obnoxiously tweeting Redskins rookie Robert Henson should have known better than to call booing Washington fans “dimwits.” But he has a point: If Redskins fans were smart, they would have left the game before it got so unwatchable that booing was required. Think Washington is the team that breaks the Lions’ losing streak this weekend?

– My, are the Saints scoring a lot of points.

– Congratulations to Tennessee’s Chris Johnson, for the most ridiculous fantasy performance this decade. Frank Gore rushed for 207 yards and two long touchdowns later Sunday, yet it wasn’t as impressive as Johnson’s three-TD, almost-300-total-yards day. Too bad the Titans still fell to 0-2 …

– Finally, former Raider quarterbacks Jeff Hostetler, Kenny Stabler, Jim Plunkett and even Todd Marinovich could have been brought of retirement and did a better job than JaMarcus Russell, who needed a spurt of completions to finish 7-for-24 on Sunday. Is it just Russell, or is it just Russell on the Raiders?

Posted on 24th September 2009
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Post-Week 2 rankings

What a Week 2! There’s a new No. 1: The Giants take the top spot after the Patriots and Steelers fell. The Jets make the week’s biggest jump, up eight notches, while the Titans take the biggest tumble, 10 spots to No. 17.

1. Giants (2-0)
2. Colts (2-0)
3. Ravens (2-0)
4. Steelers (1-1)
5. Falcons (2-0)
6. Saints (2-0)
7. Patriots (1-1)
8. Vikings (2-0)
9. Jets (2-0)
10. Chargers (1-1)
11. Cowboys (1-1)
12. Cardinals (1-1)
13. Eagles (1-1)
14. Bears (1-1)
15. 49ers (2-0)
16. Broncos (2-0)
17. Titans (0-2)
18. Packers (1-1)
19. Texans (1-1)
20. Redskins (1-1)
21. Seahawks (1-1)
22. Bills (1-1)
23. Dolphins (0-2)
24. Bengals (1-1)
25. Panthers (0-2)
26. Buccaneers (0-2)
27. Raiders (1-1)
28. Jaguars (0-2)
29. Chiefs (0-2)
30. Lions (0-2)
31. Browns (0-2)
32. Rams (0-2)

Posted on 23rd September 2009
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Week 2 picks

Last week I started the season well, going 13-3. Let’s see if I’m equally as proficient this week, when I get a little more daring. As usual, the home team is in caps.

WEEK 2
ATLANTA over Carolina
Minnesota over DETROIT
GREEN BAY over Cincinnati
TENNESSEE over Houston
Oakland over KANSAS CITY
New England over N.Y. JETS
New Orleans over PHILADELPHIA
WASHINGTON over St. Louis
Arizona over JACKSONVILLE
BUFFALO over Tampa Bay
SAN FRANCISCO over Seattle
Pittsburgh over CHICAGO
Baltimore over SAN DIEGO
DENVER over Cleveland
DALLAS over N.Y. Giants
Indianapolis over MIAMI
Last week: 13-3

Posted on 20th September 2009
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Week 2 fantasy preview

Sorry for missing Week 1 — I had listened to so many podcasts and read so many online columns that I didn’t feel I’d be honestly throwing out my own fantasy opinions. I’ve avoided the fantasy media this week and am ready to make some potentially brilliant/inane postulations.

SMART STARTS
Ryan Grant, RB, Packers.
Green Bay hosts the Bengals, who contained the Broncos’ offense last week. But the Broncos’ offense is nothing like the Packers’, and if Cincinnati focuses on the passing game, Grant might be in line for a 100-yard day.

Matt Ryan, QB, Falcons. Atlanta’s offense wasn’t explosive last week, but it didn’t exactly stink, either. And though the Panthers gave up 38 points last week partly because of Jake Delhomme’s ineptness, I don’t think their defense will can stop both Ryan and Michael Turner. I’m betting Carolina will focus on Turner, possibly setting up Ryan for a 300-yard game at home.

Fred Jackson, RB, Bills. Jackson’s three-week cameo as Buffalo’s feature back continues with a home matchup against Tampa Bay. He’ll continue to thrive — expect near triple digits rushing, maybe 40-50 yards receiving, and maybe a touchdown or two.

SLEEPER POTENTIAL
Kyle Orton, QB, Broncos.
Am I crazy to think Orton can’t stink two weeks in a row? He has a favorable matchup, at home against Cleveland; his finger is improving; and he got that first victory out of the way. That’s less pressure, which might translate to at least 275 yards passing and a couple TDs.

Darren Sproles, RB, Chargers. LaDainian Tomlinson is sidelined with an injured ankle, giving Sproles an opportunity to shine against Baltimore. Yes, he’s facing the Ravens, but I think he still will come away with decent numbers in place of LT.

Matt Schaub, QB, Texans.
Houston’s offense struggled mightily last week, but I believe it was a one-week blip. Pittsburgh’s Ben Roethlisberger delivered 363 yards passing against the Titans, and if they try stopping the Texan run game, Schaub could at least top 300.

BUST CITY
Jay Cutler, QB, Bears.
Cutler isn’t going to stink this season as bad as he did in Week 1. But he could very well stink in Week 2 against the Steelers. Sit him if you can, and wait for him to improve (maybe in Week 3 at Seattle).

Steve Smith, WR, Panthers. If Jake Delhomme’s season is really descending into heck, can Smith be far behind? Smith is a tough sit, but at the very least, be wary of starting him this week.

Eagles wide receivers. Donovan McNabb is likely not playing after cracking a rib, leaving Kevin Kolb as the Philly starter. In this situation, who will be the Eagles’ go-to guy? You guessed it: Brian Westbrook, meaning DeSean Jackson and Kevin Curtis might be lucky to hit 100 yards between them.

Posted on 19th September 2009
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Post-Week 1 rankings

The Patriots unleashed an impressive comeback Monday night to beat the Bills, but let’s face it: They were lucky to win. That said, and after Pittsburgh looked impressive from the fourth quarter on (Hines Ward’s fumble notwithstanding) against Tennessee, I moved the Steelers to No. 1 this week. The Seahawks made the week’s biggest jump, from No. 20 to No. 15, while the Panthers dropped eight to No. 22 after their turnover-filled loss to the Eagles. And oh, there’s a new No. 32 — the Rams officially look like the worst team in the NFL.

1. Steelers
2. Patriots
3. Giants
4. Chargers
5. Colts
6. Ravens
7. Titans
8. Eagles
9. Falcons
10. Saints
11. Cowboys
12. Vikings
13. Packers
14. Cardinals
15. Seahawks
16. Bears
17. Jets
18. Dolphins
19. Texans
20. Redskins
21. 49ers
22. Panthers
23. Broncos
24. Bills
25. Buccaneers
26. Jaguars
27. Bengals
28. Raiders
29. Chiefs
30. Lions
31. Browns
32. Rams

Posted on 17th September 2009
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Week 1 redux

Ah, what a wonderful Sunday and Monday, which, combined with last Thursday’s game, was otherwise known as Week 1. Let’s review:

– The Broncos won in the last minute, only to be topped by the Packers winning late, the Patriots scoring two touchdowns in the last 2:06 and the Chargers rallying past the Raiders. But that statement is wrong — nothing topped how the Broncos won.

However, though the Broncos should be happy they won, it was a miserable game, and they only won because Kyle Orton threw a bad pass that fortuitously bounced to Brandon Stokley. They won’t be that lucky every week, and if they don’t improve soon, it might be a long season in Denver.

– Jay Cutler fit right in with the recent history of Bears quarterbacks by throwing four interceptions. His Sunday night counterpart, Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers, finally led his team to a fourth-quarter victory after the Packers lost so many close games last season.

– I think Cutler will improve, but the Bears were not sharp against the Packers, and will miss Brian Urlacher, who is out for the season after wrist surgery.

– The Lions didn’t completely stink and should at least beat the Rams, who by early indications should be worried about repeating Detroit’s 0-16 season. However, the Lions’ defense is not good, and though it’s doubtful someone will throw six touchdowns on the unit like Drew Brees did, expect many Detroit losses in which the team gives up at least 30 points.

– Speaking of Brees, are Dan Marino and Tom Brady’s single-season records in trouble?

– Statzone is back on NFL Network, and though its look has changed from last year, seeing it again was like meeting an old friend.

— Am I the only person that thought Mike Greenberg’s play-by-play during the Raiders-Chargers was mildly annoying?

– Finally, what were the Panthers thinking when they re-signed Jake Delhomme to that huge deal? He better turn things around, or Carolina will fare no better than 6-10 this season.

Posted on 16th September 2009
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Here we go again

Forget about Thursday night’s game — tomorrow, Sunday, Sept. 13 is the real start of the season. The first day with more than one game, the first Sunday night matchup, the first pregame ESPN/CBS/Fox/NFL Network extravaganzas, the first burst of in-season fantasy madness, the first constant flipping to NFL Network’s running stat board during the early games (damn, I hope they brought that back last year), and the first day working your schedule around the NFL instead of the other way around. Don’t forget to make your weekly picks, update your fantasy teams, and have plenty of snack foods on hand. And enjoy Week 1, because if every season seems to hold true, it will be Week 17 before we know it.

Posted on 12th September 2009
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